Younger: This has been going on for 6 months now and the last period has been almost a stalemate
The countries of the area have been alerted and are concerned over China’s belligerence and apparent ambitions. Xi Jinping still believes that the western Pacific is his playground to control. Like Putin’s Russia with Ukraine, he is declaring his hand for all to see his goals before he is quite ready.
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Boris Yeltsin tried to open up the economy, not realizing that it was difficult, if not impossible, to make the changes needed in a short time. In addition, the mood of change was welcomed by the oligarchs, who controlled a significant part of the economy and had found ways to circumvent the rules set by the strict authority of the Soviet regime, like underworld bosses. Yeltsin didn’t know how to deal with this and quarreled with his colleagues, changing his cabinet four times before advancing illness caused him to retire, along with government pressure. He then passed the reigns to Putin, who had been well trained by the KGB.
Russia today, with Vladimir Putin in charge, demonstrates most of the hallmarks of the KGB government – disinformation and misinformation, strict control of the airwaves, no dissent, no freedom of expression, ‘do as you are told’, interference with other governments, and so on. It is no wonder that the people of the country that gave us such music giants, as Brahms and Tchaikovsky and peers of literature as Tolstoy, Dostoevsky, and Chekhov, are running away. It is reported that the number is in the six figures. Putin has failed to realize that the world he grew up in has changed and is changing further. The world faces serious problems. The communist world of Stalin, his mentor, is no more. He cannot win the war he started unless the west gives up their support, which they have pledged not to do, at whatever cost.
The Quest for the Territory and for the Nuclear Power Plant
The one point of world anxiety, however, is the safety of the nuclear plant at Zaporizhzhia, which lies at the edge of Russian-held territory on the R Dnieper, as memories are still fresh of what happened at Chornobyl where there was a meltdown and escape of radiation. The missile bombing war is still too close to the nuclear plant. It is in Russian hands and finally, they have agreed to UN requests to allow access to UN inspectors, provided that they only pass through Russian-controlled lines. Meanwhile, the Russians have cut off the supply that was going from the plant to Ukraine.
One other point of speculation is what happens if and when Putin goes. Is there a Russia to deal with that is not completely under the control of acolytes brainwashed with Putin’s thoughts of Russian entitlement? It will be difficult to deal with a country absorbed in thinking of its past, when there are more critical world issues of concern, such as climate. Russia, which controls a very significant part of the globe, must join in with the solutions.
About the author:
Dr. J Scott Younger, OBE, is a professional civil engineer; he spent 42 years in the Far East undertaking assignments in 10 countries for WB, ADB, and UNDP. He published many papers; he was a columnist for Forbes Indonesia and Globe Asia. He served on British & European Chamber boards and was a Vice Chair of Int’l Business Chamber for 17 years. His expertise is infrastructure and sustainable development and he takes an interest in international affairs. He is an International Chancellor of the President University, Indonesia. He is a member of IFIMES Advisory Board. Lived and worked in Thailand from 1978 to 1983 and visited Burma, Bangladesh, and Nepal for projects.
The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect IFIMES official position.
Ljubljana/Glasgow, 28 August 2022
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